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Mr. Reed: I agree with the hon. Gentleman that it is not a binary equation. Given that we all accept that it is not a binary equation, that we all recognised on Second Reading that it is about priorities and that there is flexibility within any democratically elected Government’s portfolio for choosing priorities, surely there can be no grounds for objecting to this being a statutory obligation?
Mr. Gauke: In a way, the hon. Gentleman is perhaps arguing for some clarification, which is what the amendment seeks to provide. If I understand it correctly, it seeks to make it clear that meeting the targets is subject to the fiscal responsibility Bill—assuming it comes into force. What the hon. Gentleman argues for is fine—we can meet the terms of the fiscal responsibility Bill, because it is not just about money, and I do not disagree with his essential analysis. The amendment is trying to explore what would happen if we were in a similar position to our current one in 10 years’ time. When faced with an obligation, would the Government be able to say, “Hold on, getting our deficit down is very important.”? I think the amendment makes it clear which one would prevail.
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If we have two separate obligations going in different directions, I am not entirely sure what the judges are supposed to do. Do they just pick the one that they like most? Do they pick the most recent one? As I understand it, subsequent legislation is seen to be superior to—overrides—previous legislation, but it does not always work like that. For example, going back a long time to when I was an undergraduate, if I remember correctly the European Communities Act 1972 is an implied term in every piece of legislation passed since the Act, so unless the legislation expressly overrides that Act, it is subject to it—that is what the Factortame line of cases established. I do not think that that applies here, but there is potential uncertainty.
I wonder whether this is an opportunity for the Minister to save some legal fees for the likes of the Child Poverty Action Group, or whoever might subject the Government to judicial review, and provide some clarity as to how the two pieces of legislation—one before us and one promised—will hang together. That clarity would be useful in understanding exactly how the Bill works.
Mr. Timms: I could not help but notice as the hon. Member for Beverley and Holderness opened the debate that the new era he announced to us this morning—the one in which he will not be overstating his case—has not started yet, although I look forward to it. I found myself firmly in agreement with one point that he made—his antipathy to the use of split infinitives. I share that with him, but I am afraid not a great deal else.
The essential point is that the goals of fiscal responsibility and eradicating child poverty are not incompatible—we have to achieve both. The targets will certainly have to be achieved in a fiscally responsible way. If that was not possible, the long-term sustainability of our child poverty commitment would not be delivered. The strategy—when it is published within 12 months of Royal Assent—will need to set out how that will be achieved, and how the targets will be delivered in a fiscally responsible way. Those goals are consistent with clause 15, which requires the Secretary of State to take into account fiscal and economic circumstances. I shall argue, when we come to the stand part debate, that that obligation is a strength of the Bill because, in fulfilling it, the Secretary of State will need to take the likely impact on public borrowing into account when preparing a strategy to meet those targets. The clause requires the Secretary of State to have regard to those responsibilities when setting out his proposed action for meeting the targets.
The fiscal responsibility Bill will require the Government to reduce the budget deficit year on year to ensure that national debt remains sustainable in the medium term. That is, and must be consistent with, the Secretary of State’s obligation to take into account the impact of child poverty measures on public borrowing. The publication of annual reports will provide a transparent accountability framework to enable regular monitoring and scrutiny of progress. Those accountability arrangements will ensure that we continue to make progress in a sustainable way. That was always going to need to be an obligation and a characteristic of the strategy when it was produced. The hon. Gentleman made a perfectly fair point. The requirement is highlighted by the announcement of the fiscal responsibility Bill, but that would always have to have been a part of the strategy.
This Bill allows us to plan to meet both those obligations, so I hope the hon. Gentleman will accept my reassurances on that point and feel able to withdraw his amendment.
Mr. Stuart: What can the Minister tell us about enforceability? I spoke a lot about it—he is humorous about the new era of me understating my case, which he and I devoutly wish to see begin, but perhaps not today. The point about the unenforceability of this and other statutory targets is not just mine—it may be a minority point of view in Parliament, but not in the legal community. The Minister needs to take the issue seriously.
I go back to Harriet Townsend, the barrister who said, in the context of the Climate Change Bill:
“Notwithstanding the potential for judicial review, both the”
duties
“to ensure compliance with the five yearly budgets would, in my opinion, be ultimately unenforceable in the courts.”
That was the legal view. I know there was a lot of to-ing and fro-ing on the topic during the Climate Change Bill, but could the Minister bring us up to date with the Government’s legal position? Have the Government taken counsel’s advice on legal enforceability? That goes to the heart of my amendment.
There are two questions: mine, about enforceability; and secondly, about how that enforceability works when we have, potentially, legislation pointing in different directions, one direction requiring a reduction in government expenditure and another an increase. Although the Minister has a capability—nay, a facility—to sound reasonable while saying things that are indefensible to my mind, while I have exactly the opposite ability at many times, I would be interested to hear from him on both those points.
Mr. Timms: Let me attempt to tackle that point. The courts can respond in a variety of ways in relation to judicial review. The hon. Gentleman mentioned a declaration, which a court can make; a court could quash an order, require a Government to set aside a particular policy decision, issue a prohibiting order forbidding an action, or issue a mandatory order requiring a particular course of action. The courts have many measures at their disposal if they seek to determine a judicial review against the Government on either of the Bills under discussion.
Mr. Stuart: I take it from the Minister’s answer that he is seriously suggesting that a court would use any such powers. The main focus of the Bill is incomes. I think that Ministers have accepted and agreed that when we get towards the end of the period, the long-term issues around improving children’s centres, early intervention, lack of attainment in families at an early age and so on go out of the window, at least in terms of meeting a target that is fixed in time. Does the Minister believe that the courts—or anyone—could enforce action against Government on the child poverty target in the early years? That is my first question.
Secondly, the only time that I could conceive of a court starting to use any of the fairly strong measures that the Minister talked about—barring or insisting on certain activity by the Government—would be right at the end. My hon. Friend the Member for South-West Hertfordshire has tried putting counterfactuals to the Minister before, with limited success in gleaning a full answer, but if the legal duty existed now, would the Minister expect a court to insist that the £4.3 billion or whatever is spent by Government in order to meet the 2010 target? Does the Minister seriously expect that sort of thing to happen in future? If he does not, that would suggest what Jeff Rooker said during consideration of the Climate Change Bill:
“It is not just about the punishment in the event of failure; it is about trying to change institutional behaviour through a change in the law.”—[Official Report, House of Lords, 27 November 2007; Vol. 696, c. 1209.]
That is a rather vague concept, but I have always found Jeff Rooker an honest and straightforward Minister and I think that he was effectively saying, as best he could, that the target was not enforceable. He hoped that, by putting it in statute, it might be taken a bit more seriously by the civil servants and others than it would otherwise, but it is not a legally enforceable target.
I beg to ask leave to withdraw the amendment.
Amendment, by leave, withdrawn.
Amendment made: 46, in clause 15, page 9, line 24, leave out ‘them’ and insert
‘the Scottish Ministers or, as the case may be, to the Northern Ireland departments’. —(Helen Goodman.)
The effect of this amendment is that, in relation to Northern Ireland, clause 15(3)(a) refers to the Northern Ireland departments in general, rather than to the Office of the First Minister and Deputy First Minister. See Member’s explanatory statement for amendment 34.
Question proposed, That the clause, as amended, stand part of the Bill.
Mr. Gauke: I shall be brief because the points I wanted to make in the clause stand part debate I made with regard to amendment 61. There are two key elements to the pressure placed on Ministers by the Bill. The expression, “Holding the Minister’s feet to the fire”, has been used on more than one occasion. Kate Green of the Child Poverty Action Group, for example, said in evidence to us:
“Of more importance to us is that the Bill gives public profile and a political push to the issue and ensures that there is constant progress and momentum.”——[Official Report, Child Poverty Public Bill Committee, 20 October 2009; c. 34, Q80.]
There are other areas of tension. Returning to evidence provided by Kate Green, she raised concerns about a tension between welfare reform and meeting the targets. That is difficult, as there is cross-party consensus on the need for welfare reform to do more to end a culture of dependency. That involves sticks and carrots—the exact composition of the sticks and carrots is a finely balanced judgment. It is possible to imagine circumstances in which Ministers take one view of the right course of action and the judiciary another. I worry about too many powers being passed on to the judiciary rather than democratically elected politicians. It is a concern.
Perhaps most significant is the issue that we return to with clause 15: the economic and fiscal circumstances. It is reasonable for the Government to include the clause. I know it has received some criticism. In all honesty, a Government must always act in accordance with economic and fiscal circumstances. My general criticism of the Government is that they have not done enough of that over recent years with regard to the public finances.
The Minister almost implied that the constraint on the targets—if there is, in reality, much of a constraint—would always be there. Governments always have to act responsibly or should do so, and, ultimately, we do not object to the clause.
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Steve Webb: Whereas we do.
A clause stand part debate allows us to question what might happen if the clause was not part of the Bill. Presumably, clause 15(1)(a) means that the Secretary of State might be reckless. The probable Chancellor might decide to have no regard for economic or fiscal circumstances, taxation, public spending or public borrowing. The idea that, when forming policy, a future Chancellor might have no regard for public spending, taxation or public borrowing is a tad unlikely.
Mr. Stuart: This one would.
Steve Webb: All right. Let me put it another way: the proposition that clause 15 would make a blind bit of difference to whether a future Chancellor had regard for public borrowing or public spending is unlikely. Assuming that the Financial Secretary anticipates his colleagues and successors in that role, I am sure that he would not suggest that they would behave in such a manner. I am not clear about the restraining impact of subsection (1)(a). In a sense, such a measure is unnecessary under that subsection and it is inappropriate under subsection (1)(b), which deals with the child poverty commission.
We do not want the child poverty commission internalising such matters or pre-empting the political judgment of priorities—that is not its job. Its job is not to weigh up the relative merits of spending money on nuclear weapons or child poverty, but to advise on cost-effective ways of tackling child poverty. The Government can then judge between alternative strategies for that or other issues on which they want to spend money. I cannot see how clause 15 would ever be used. Will someone take the Secretary of State to court for not being fiscally responsible in his approach to child poverty? That is pretty implausible. We have already heard how difficult it is to enforce the entire Bill, let alone the clause. Will we take action in law against the child poverty commission for being a bit irresponsible? What is the clause doing? Why is it in the Bill?
In what circumstances could the clause be used? In evidence to this Committee and, indeed, to the Work and Pensions Committee, the Minister said that he would go away and think about the matter. I should be interested to know how that lunch time went. My underlying worry is that we have a binding target. The right hon. Gentleman assured us that it is not undermined by clause 15. Perhaps we ought to have a metaphorical clause 15 in all Bills requiring such things of everyone and all people. Why do we have the clause in this Bill, when such a measure could fit into any Bill? That is odd. What is it about the Bill that makes the Government want to add such a provision to it? Unless we are given a convincing reason for its inclusion, we cannot agree with it.
 
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