Select Committee on Transport Appendices to the Minutes of Evidence


Memorandum by Metro (MMS 39)

MULTI-MODAL STUDIES

  The following submission is based on our experience with the South and West Yorkshire Multi Modal Study (SWYMMS). We believe that this study has been conducted in a rigorous manner, has made a valuable contribution to the development of transport proposals at a regional level and has established analytical procedures that can be of continuing benefit in developing transport policy in the region, provided means can be found to maintain them.

  However, we are concerned that the study has been conducted on the basis of a relatively narrow interpretation of its remit, as compared with at least some other studies and had concentrated exclusively on the objective of relieving congestion on the motorways. This is not necessarily wrong in itself, but needs to be understood in comparing the results with those from other areas, particularly in relation to the relative emphasis in the conclusions about road user charging and investment in strategic public transport projects. These concerns are amplified below in relation to the specific questions posed.

  This had lead to apparent contradiction that the multi modal study is only making specific recommendations for highway investment and interventions.

Was the approach to selecting the areas and scale of the studies appropriate and consistent, and how far have the studies looked ahead?

  The main SWYMMS study was preceded by a scoping study that helped to determine its scope. Among other things, this led to an enlargement of the study area. We consider that the wider study area was more appropriate than that originally envisaged but still focussed on the motorway box in West and South Yorkshire. The choice of regional areas for the multi modal models did not contribute to the development of inter regional solutions to inter city movements by road or public transport. For example there will be a need for the SRA to consider the conclusions from three multi modal model areas when evaluating rail routes between Liverpool, Manchester, Leeds and Newcastle.

How much have the studies cost and are they good value for money?

  Large resources have been invested in collecting data and model development for the SWYMMS study. This has contributed significantly to the overall cost. The value for money of this will be improved if the models are maintained and made use of for other applications.

  Additional work on public transport schemes which show merit in their own right, without addressing the relatively narrow study objectives have been recommended, and these will have to be funded from a variety of sources.

What is the expected cost and how affordable are the schemes that are being recommended?

  We consider that the SWYMMS study has considered the likely availability of funding in reaching its recommendations. However the lack of public transport schemes being recommended has underestimated the potential need for investment considerably. Given the scale of recommendations emerging from some other studies, it must be questioned whether this has been a consistent approach across all of the studies. It is important that any such differences are taken into account in allocating national resources to fund the proposals emerging from the multi modal studies.

Have the studies been based on realistic forecasts of growth in traffic and how effective are measures intended to reduce the need to travel?

  The SWYMMS study took account of both national forecasts and local land use projections, including the effects of Regional Planning Guidance and the EU Objective 1 and 2 programmes in South and West Yorkshire. We therefore consider them to be soundly based. However there was no apparent acknowledgement of local targets in the development of the future scenarios.

  The study was based on the assumption that the primary objective was to reduce congestion on the motorway and trunk road network. A range of measures to reduce demand were tested, but only area wide road charging was found to have a significant impact in relation to this central objective.

  The identification of the spatial nature of suppressed traffic brought about through area wide charging was not identified, and therefore the potential to identify public transport schemes capable of catering for potential mode transfer to public transport was not developed. In addition the influence of road user charging in suppressing travel demand, and so affecting future decisions on location was not explored.

Has a consistent approach been taken over the need for and benefits of new ways of charging for transport?

  As already been noted the SWYMMS study found that road user charging was the only really effective demand management measure in meeting its objective of reducing congestion on the motorways. In fact, this was the most effective measure of any type that was tested by the study and it was concluded that charging would be necessary within the overall strategy if this issue was to be addressed to a significant degree. It was also recognised that high quality alternatives to the car would have to be provided as part of such a strategy and that the revenues from charging would help to make this fundable.

  It is extremely unlikely that the conditions in South and West Yorkshire are sufficiently different from those elsewhere for these conclusions to be valid only within the SWYMMS study area. Different recommendations from the studies may therefore be due to inconsistencies in approach.

How different are the recommendations these studies are bringing forward compared with previous transport policy? Have the studies taken a balanced approach to all modes?

  In considering potential solutions, the SWYMMS study took a structured approach, considering firstly demand management measures, then alternatives to the car or lorry and finally increases to highway capacity. However, the solutions tested were considered primarily in relation to the objective of reducing congestion on the motorways. As has been noted earlier, the study found that an effective strategy for meeting this objective required road user charging. It was also found that some increases to highway and junction capacity would contribute, with or without charging.

  Strategic public transport measures were not found to be very effective in relation to this objective, since the surveys carried for SWYMMS concluded that most motorway traffic has widely dispersed origins and destinations which are difficult to make using public transport. This does not mean that strategic public transport schemes are not beneficial in relation to broader objectives and the study has identified a number of schemes that the consultants consider should be investigated further. However, it seems apparent that other studies have interpreted their brief more broadly and it is important that this is recognised in considering the relative merits of strategic public schemes and allocating resources at a national level.

Are the studies producing recommendations that are consistent with Government policy, particularly the 10 Year Plan and the SRA Strategic Plan?

  The SWYMMS Study has completed framework assessments on its proposals which should ensure that individual proposals are consistent with government policy. However, since the brief for the study has been interpreted relatively narrowly, it has not produced a package of proposals for strategic transport within this region that fully meet the requirements of Government policy and regional transport priorities will have to be determined on broader grounds. Because of the regional coverage, little can be learned from the studies collectively to inform inter regional transport policies, in particular those affecting rail investment.

How effective will the schemes proposed by the studies be in promoting regeneration?

  The SWWYMS study proposals were tested for the effects on regeneration using a land use transportation model. It was concluded that they would have a modest but worthwhile effect on regeneration. The study supported a number of schemes in South Yorkshire that had been identified by an Objective 1 funded study as contributing to the relief of transport bottlenecks that would hinder regeneration. However, the potential contribution of strategic public transport investment to supporting sustainable development was not seen as being central to the study's objectives and was therefore not considered.

  There is concern that suppression of travel through road charging, if not balanced by provision of additional opportunities to use public transport could impede regeneration.

How can all of the different agencies responsible for achieving the different recommendations from the studies be co-ordinated to ensure a balanced set of projects are completed?

  At a national level, the government has a great deal of control over this through the various funding mechanisms within its control. There are mechanisms through which the various bodies come together at a regional level to discuss priorities, but regional bodies have a much clearer cut role in determining Highways Agency priorities as opposed to those of the SRA. This merits further consideration.

  There would be benefit in retaining the Steering Group to oversee the implementation programme.

That are the main political, institutional, financial and planning barriers to implementing the studies?

  Political—Authorities responsible for some proposals may not be "signed up" to them. National decisions will need to be taken on road user charging for example, and cannot be realistically introduced within one region.

  Institutional—a variety of different agencies will be responsible for implementation. Some of these agencies take a national, regional or sub-regional viewpoint and implementation will need to be carried out within clearly defined and co-ordinated plans.

  Financial—insufficient funding (particularly for any revenue implications). Many studies, and further studies to assess schemes identified as meriting potential in their own right, have and will identify large-scale investment and it not clear that funding is available.

  Planning—the time taken for the planning process is well known, and the lead in time for public transport schemes to be in place before the date recommended for Road User charging (2011) is ambitious if alternative public transport provision is to be delivered.

How can the multi-modal study process be improved?

  Greater consistency should be achieved in the setting and interpretation of objectives, the planning assumptions relating to growth, the potential influence on future decisions affecting location, the methodologies employed and the inter relationship between economic growth and travel demand growth.

  There is also a need to collectively assess findings from the models with regard to their effect on investment on inter regional routes, particularly with regard to the predominant use of motorways by long distance traffic.

October 2002


 
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