Select Committee on Environment, Transport and Regional Affairs Appendices to the Minutes of Evidence


Annex B

EAST COAST MAIN LINE

  A cross-mode elasticity study on the M1/A1(M) East Coast Main Line corridor carried out by DOT in 1994 is being reflected in Train Operating Company results. The impact on car flows resulting from rail policies showed service quality level to be more important than fares, although it played a significant role.

TRANSFER OF CARS OFF ROADS AFTER RE-ASSIGNMENT
Transfer to Rail
Policy CaseTotal car trips
per day
New rail passengers
per day (1)
Rail fares down 20 per cent3,080 5,930
Rail IVT down 20 per cent2,380 4,230
Rail headway down 10 min (2) 5,160 9,540
Rail reliability up to 5 per cent (3) 9701,650
Rail reliability up 5 per cent + new stock 2,7604,880
Road IVT up 20 per cent3,400 6,060


  (1)  Calculated assuming vehicle occupancies of 1.55 (business) and 2.42 (leisure) and that all occupants transfer.

  (2)  Elasticities calculated assuming current headway of 30 minutes.

  (3)  Elasticities calculated assuming reliability improvements can be expressed as 5 per cent improvement in service.


 
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