Select Committee on Education and Employment Appendices to the Minutes of Evidence


APPENDIX 8 (continued)

Table 1

TRAINING TIME LINE


  16-18 19-24

1964Industrial Training Act
1970Training Opportunities Programme (TOPS)
1978Youth Opportunity Programme (YOP)
1983Youth Training Scheme (YTS)
19862 year YTS
1990Youth Training (YT) replaces YTS 1990Employment Training (ET)
Employment Action
1993 Training for Work

Learning for Work

Community Action
1994 Accelerated Modern

Apprenticeships
1995Modern
Apprenticeships
Youth Credits
YT continues
1995Workwise
1998 New Deal



Table 2

NEW DEAL FOR YOUNG PEOPLE

Cumulative numbers
Jul-98
Aug-98
Sep-98
Oct-98
Nov-98
Dec-98
Jan-99
Feb-99
Mar-99
Apr-99
May-99
Jun-99
Jul-99
Aug-99
Sep-99
Oct-99
New Deal Starters
128,000
148,100
167,400
188,300
203,100
214,300
233,200
249,200
266,300
284,300
299,400
311,670
334,500
348,900
363,100
379,500
Left New Deal
22,800
32,100
40,200
71,100
82,600
86,180
101,000
113,610
128,700
150,630
159,200
176,305
193,410
209,600
226,940
251,570
To Unsubsidised Jobs
13,050
17,300
21,210
35,150
37,260
39,370
43,760
48,870
56,050
62,625
69,200
76,065
82,930
89,350
96,760
107,280
Other Benefits
2,530
3,470
4,350
7,220
10,150
11,110
13,480
15,330
17,200
19,170
20,810
22,735
24,660
26,320
27,890
30,060
Other Known
1,140
1,810
2,860
8,450
8,990
9,530
9,870
10,840
11,730
12,830
13,700
22,660
31,620
35,050
39,260
44,750
Unknown
6,470
9,510
10,110
20,260
24,000
27,430
33,940
38,570
43,720
46,342
48,964
51,586
54,210
58,850
63,040
69,480
Total Leavers
23,190
32,090
38,530
71,080
80,400
87,440
101,050
113,610
128,700
140,967
152,674
173,046
193,420
209,570
226,950
251,570
Numbers in options state by month
Jan-Mar 98
Apr-Jun 98
Jul-98
Aug-98
Sep-98
Oct-98
Nov-98
Dec-98
Jan-99
Feb-99
Mar-99
Apr-99
May-99
Jun-99
Jul-99
Aug-99
Sep-99
Oct-99
Gateway
 
 
94,800
100,600
97,600
78,800
75,800
77,900
78,000
76,000
74,600
74,600
73,400
73,200
73,000
71,900
65,500
60,000
Employment
610
3,010
1,790
1,440
1,660
9,010
10,000
10,920
9,820
10,400
10,790
10,970
11,280
11,425
11,570
11,530
11,640
11,510
FTET
280
1,630
1,660
2,030
9,380
19,460
21,770
23,450
21,780
22,860
23,190
22,850
22,230
19,425
16,620
15,740
19,380
19,050
Voluntary
70
590
550
780
1,190
4,420
5,540
6,480
6,620
7,500
7,850
7,700
7,730
7,915
8,100
7,880
7,640
7,410
ETF
50
480
500
750
1,130
3,990
4,960
5,860
5,910
6,590
6,950
6,950
7,050
7,185
7,320
7,340
7,330
6,940
Still on New Deal
1,010
5,710
4,500
5,000
13,360
36,880
42,270
46,710
44,130
47,350
48,780
48,470
48,290
45,950
43,610
42,490
45,990
44,910
Follow through
 
 
 
 
16,140
 
2,430
3,490
10,070
12,250
14,220
16,930
18,510
25,110
31,710
42,490
24,660
22,980



Table 3

NEW DEAL OUTCOME EQUATION

  
Log (number into unsubsidised jobs
log (number into subsidised jobs)
log (number not returning to JSA after 13 weeks)
log (New Deal cohort)
.6531**
(.1572)
.2968
(.1562)
.6438**
(.1523)
log (Unit Cost)
3.4174**
(.4799)
.7787*
(.4574)
3.3254**
(.4666)
% Long-Term Unemployed
-.0724**
(.0106)
-.0128
(.0105)
-.0719**
(.01032)
% Young Unemployed
-.0700**
(.0169)
.0254
(.0186)
-.0790**
(.0163)
% Ethnic Minority
-.0063**
(.0015)
-.0073**
(.0018)
-.0064**
(.0015)
% Men
-.0163**
(.0040)
-.0061
(.0061)
-.0104**
(.0045)
% Disabled
.0097**
(.0039)
.0160**
(.0061)
.0119**
(.0039)
% Employment Option
.0237**
(.0040)
.1181**
(.0066)
.0344**
(.0043)
% Voluntary Option
.0013
(.0058)
.0117
(.0076)
-.0023
(.0057)
% FTET Option
.0051
(.0032)
.0034
(.0047)
.0029
(.0033)
Tight Labour Market
.2690**
(.1008)
-.0547
(.0899)
.2199**
(.0977)
log (Average Earnings)
1.3259**
(.5144)
-.3626
(.4676)
1.0683**
(.5004)
log (Vacancies UoD)
-.0219
(.0667)
-.1051
(.0734)
-.0868
(.0643)
log (Unemployment UoD)
.6827**
(.0983)
.9462**
(.0925)
.7127**
(.0955)
London
-.5026*
(.2880)
.2632
(.2816)
-.2381
(.2792)
Pathfinder Area
-.7982
(.1583)
-.1781
(.1390)
-.7608**
(.1537)
Constant
-33.3695**
(4.9697)
-10.5861**
(4.7310)
-31.3364**
(4.841)
R2 within
0.5793
0.5094
0.5807
R2 between
0.8808
0.9016
0.8742
R2 overall
0.8447
0.8296
0.8267
s a
.2006
.26562
.9904
s e
.1143
.2931
.1123
r
.7549
.4509
.7583
No of observations
456
456
456














 
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