Select Committee on Science and Technology Minutes of Evidence


Examination of Witnesses (Questions 426 - 439)

WEDNESDAY 17 MAY 2000

PROFESSOR KAROL SIKORA, PROFESSOR SIR RICHARD PETO FRS AND PROFESSOR BRUCE PONDER

Chairman

  426. Professor Ponder, Professor Sikora, thank you very much indeed for coming before the Science and Technology Committee this afternoon. We hope that we shall be joined shortly by Professor Peto who I believe is having some delay in his travel arrangements. We have a variety of questions to put to you this afternoon and we will try to direct them as far as we can because if we ask each one of you to answer every question we put we shall never get through the long list of questions we have. If we do direct a question, for example, to Professor Sikora and Professor Ponder wishes to make a comment, we shall be pleased to hear it, but we would also be pleased if every question was not answered three times; otherwise we shall not get through our agenda. Would you both please introduce yourselves so that it is written into the record?

  (Professor Ponder) I am Professor Bruce Ponder. I am Professor of Oncology in the University of Cambridge.
  (Professor Sikora) I am Karol Sikora. I was Professor of Oncology at Hammersmith and am now Vice-President for Cancer Research at Pharmacia Corporation.

  427. Thank you very much indeed. Professor Ponder, what are the main areas of research at the present time that will lead to the next generation of patients getting better cancer treatment than they get now?
  (Professor Ponder) First of all, thinking about the development of new treatments, I suppose a rational approach to that depends on our understanding the critical differences between cancer cells and normal cells, and I think that the approach to that is through better understanding of the cellular and molecular biology of the normal cell, how it is disturbed in cancer, and particular areas which look promising at the moment are topics such as signal transduction, that is, the controlling mechanisms of the cell, mechanisms controlling cell death, mechanisms controlling DNA repair. It would be very rash to predict which of those is going to provide the answers; maybe several of them will provide different answers in different cancers. Although we obviously focus a lot on the development of new treatments we should not neglect other possibilities of research. In particular I think there is quite a lot of scope in the short term for improving the efficacy of the treatments that we have already, using them better. One way of doing that is to be able to describe tumours more precisely in terms of the molecular defects within them and match those to the treatment. I think there is potential still for screening and prevention and the areas of research which are important there are epidemiology, the genetics of susceptibility and gene environment interactions, and understanding of the preneoplastic process, that is, the changes which are occurring before the cell finally becomes a cancer cell.

  428. You have mentioned several potential treatments there. Do you think that in the United Kingdom we are trying to tackle too many treatments at the same time and we would be better if we specialised in one or two?
  (Professor Ponder) Too many areas of research?

  429. Yes.
  (Professor Ponder) No, I do not think so. Obviously there is merit in focus and the Grants Committees always want people to focus but I do not think we have the wisdom to know what to focus on. Your question has overtones, if it is carried through logically, of direction of research by the Committee and I think that is generally not a good direction to go in. My own view is that the researcher should come up with the ideas and the good ideas will win out and attract the resources and I would be reluctant to see a centralised curtailing of the scope of research.

  430. Before I put my question to Professor Sikora may I welcome Professor Peto and say to him how pleased we are that he has come along this afternoon. We know the difficulty he has had with his travel arrangements and we thank him for letting us know that he might be a minute or two late. Before we resume our questioning perhaps I can invite you, as I did our other two witnesses, to introduce yourself for the sake of the record, Professor Peto.
  (Professor Sir Richard Peto) My name is Richard Peto. I have been a cancer epidemiologist and cancer trials statistician for the last 30 years, looking at the large scale patterns of the effects of smoking and the effects of particular treatments in cancer.

  431. Thank you very much indeed. I am going to turn to Professor Sikora and perhaps when Dr Gibson asks his question and Professor Peto has got his breath back we might include him in the dialogue. Professor Sikora, did you agree with the answers given by Professor Ponder and, if not, what different answer would you like to give?
  (Professor Sikora) No. I think it is a fairly common theme. Most of us in oncology believe that the way forward is less surgery, much greater conservation with surgery, some tinkering with radiotherapy in terms of better conformation of radiotherapy based on computer technology advancing dramatically, but the real future is in selective systemic treatments that go right round the body. Cancer is often a systemic disease. Even what we call early breast cancer is not really early cancer. It is in fact quite late because the disease has already metastasized and that is the cause of the problem, why people die from the disease. We believe that the future in the near term is about understanding more about targeting the right drugs, some of which we have already, to the right patients, but over the next five to 10 years uncovering completely new models of very selective drugs based on the sort of approach that Professor Ponder mentioned, signal transduction pathways which have now been uncovered, and already very sophisticated methods using genomics have been developed to try and yield more drugs. I think the main stumbling block internationally in getting progress with these new drugs is the sheer number of molecules that will be available for general study and how to sort out from this molecular soup if you like which ones to pick and take on and do the long term studies on. The other problems are going to be that many of these molecules will not cause tumour regression necessarily. Patients may have X-ray changes of cancer in the lung and they will remain there. The disease will be held controlled if you like. To get data on whether these drugs are actually beneficial will take a lot longer. There is a lot of emphasis that will have to go right at the beginning of clinical research to try and work out whether these drugs really affect the target we think they are affecting. That will give you, if you are in the industry, the commercial ability to persuade those that are investing in any company to pay for the large scale trials. We would want to have that validation at an early stage. That is the missing link at the moment.

  432. I think we all know that cancer treatment and eventually cancer cure is a continuum but the newspapers will always have it that there is going to be a breakthrough, or indeed there is a breakthrough. As scientists, each and every one of us on this Committee, we know something of the research and we know that very seldom in life do you get breakthroughs, and even a breakthrough is just a bigger part of the continuum. Do you believe in breakthroughs in cancer treatment or do you think it will just be greater emphasis on the continual work that will lead to better treatment as a combination of all the past work that has been done?
  (Professor Sikora) When one is in cancer therapy, looking back at 25 years of it, one does not perceive breakthroughs. There have been ideas that have led to something but they are not really breakthroughs in that sense. I do not think there will be a single unified hypothesis, a single drug, that in 2006 will revolutionise the treatment of cancer. Rather it will be a series of changes, gradual improvements, gradually understanding the profile of a cancer, how to select the right agents to control it, and that will take us forward. There will not be a year in 10 years' time when we say we have made a radical change.

  Dr Gibson: Jim Watson was over here yesterday talking to some of us in another Committee and he said that we know enough now about the processes in terms of what you are talking about and we should get on and do it. Why does it take so long to get from the bench as it were to the bedside?

  Chairman: I am going to have to suspend this Committee now by Standing Orders. I should suspend for 15 minutes but I am going to try and suspend for six or seven minutes if Members could try and get back quickly. I do apologise to our three eminent witnesses for the delay during that period of time.

  "The Committee suspended from 4.25 p.m. to4.31 p.m. for a division in the House."

  Chairman: We will resume. Dr Gibson is not back yet so we will go to Dr Turner and return to Dr Gibson on his return.

Dr Turner

  433. This is a question probably on which the views of all of you would be welcome. Funding of cancer research in the United Kingdom comes principally from non-government sources, unlike other research areas. It comes mostly from charity and industry. Do you believe that the Government is doing enough in funding cancer research? Do you think that it is sitting back and expecting industry and the cancer charities to make up for the state's deficiencies in this area?
  (Professor Sir Richard Peto) I think if you say, "Would it be nice to have some more money?", everybody is always going to say yes. If you say, "Would the money be better spent on cancer research than on education or on various other things?", I do not know. It is not clear to me that the balance is as grossly wrong as it is sometimes portrayed as being. Certainly there are things that could be done with more money. That is obviously always going to be the case. But if you are asking a question like that then you have to compare it with something. Otherwise I do not think any sensible answer can be made. I would like to make one further point, which is that I am concerned that there is a mis-perception that Britain is doing extremely badly in the treatment of cancer and that the survival rates are very much worse here than elsewhere. It is not clear to me the extent to which this is true. This may in turn lead to distorted priorities. The comparison of survival rates between different populations is not a reliable way of determining whether treatment is being given better in one population than in another because the survival rates are dominated by artefacts of the thoroughness with which one counts cancers, with which the incidence of cancer is monitored, and the thoroughness with which one should recognise somebody as having cancer and you then follow up and find out whether they have died or not. The international comparisons, the comparisons from one time period to another within this country, based on the recorded survival rates, are actually rather misleading. In some respects I think that this country has done remarkably well. For example, in breast cancer we have had the best decrease in breast cancer mortality of any country in the world over the last 10 years. The overall breast cancer death rate in middle-aged women in this country is down 30 per cent on what it was 10 years ago, and yet to read the newspapers you would think that we were completely dismal in the treatment of breast cancer. We have actually had a better improvement than any other country in the world.

Chairman

  434. Professor Ponder, would you care to add anything to that?
  (Professor Ponder) If I may, yes. Leaving aside the question of whether money would be better spent on cancer or on some other disease, from the perspective of somebody who is trying to set up a new cancer unit in Cambridge which is focusing on translational research, I think my answer would be that the funding bodies such as the charities, the Cancer Research Campaign and the Government bodies such as the MRC provide money which is very largely for specific research projects, but to carry out these projects effectively, particularly in the clinical area, you need quite a lot of infra-structure. To do translational research in Cambridge we need to be able to collect information about our patients across the whole hospital; we need to collect the material. If I manage to get funding for clinical researchers their activity will lead to a need for more pharmacists, more pathologists, more radiologists, more surgeons. It is of some use (although limited) the CRC or the MRC giving me a project or a programme grant, because I cannot deploy this money to the best effect because I do not have the infrastructure within the Health Service. That is what is missing and there is nobody who seems to regard it as their responsibility to do something about this. You might think that the NHS are supposed to address this. I am told that my own department in Cambridge receives £400,000 a year in allocation from the NHS R&D but there is not a single pound of that the direction of which I am able to influence, so it is of no use to me in addressing these problems. That I see as the major missing role if you like of government funding in making cancer research effective.
  (Professor Sikora) I think there are two things. First of all, the cancer survival, which is a very contentious topic, and I would disagree with my colleague on the right, and say that Britain still lags behind mainly because if you look at other objective factors such as the number of trials in oncology, drug spend, radiotherapy growth, everything is well below European averages. But that is not really the issue for this Committee in cancer research. What Professor Ponder has said is the key. The infrastructure is very poor, patchy and depends on individual personalities striving to build something and therefore creating something in a centre that you can then invest in. The problem for the pharmaceutical industry now is that the difficulty is that you need to have some large academic centres for early phase drug development where you can measure in a few patients very precisely what is going on. After that you want to have large populations where you can do studies of treatment. Central Europe and the Pacific Rim countries have drastically improved their medical infrastructure and because cancer drug development is very much aimed at the American market—60 per cent of cancer drugs are actually prescribed for four per cent of the world's population—the United States population, it means that once the FDA, the Food and Drug Administration in Washington, agrees to take data from Central Europe and the Pacific Rim (which they now have), these countries become very fertile places to do clinical trials simply because the costs are about a fifth of doing them in Britain. To compete we have to build up the infrastructure both of early phase drug development and the infrastructure of proper drug development. Having seen how the Department of Health R&D funds are distributed I too at Hammersmith had a budget that I could not get hold of. I could not change it round. I was told that 20 per cent of my salary came from this.

  Chairman: Dr Turner, could I now ask you if you would direct your question to one member of our witnesses because we are not going to get through our agenda.

Dr Turner

  435. Professor Ponder or Professor Sikora could answer the next follow-up. It seems to be clear then that the nature of the present funding system is distorting the research agenda because you are unable to pursue a lot of the individual activities that you would like to. Is that fair?
  (Professor Ponder) Yes. I am not sure I would use the word "agenda". It is distorting the effectiveness of the use of the money.

  436. Do you think the MRC, in supporting these areas of research, is operating in a way that is going to fund and deliver successful anti-cancer therapies and prevention strategies? Has the MRC got its strategy right?
  (Professor Sikora) I would say that the scale of investment is so low at an international level that it is not worth doing at the moment. Either you are in this business to try and succeed and invest heavily in cancer development, both in prevention and in large scale trials, or you do not do it. What the NHS has is a remarkable system up and down the country, with a population of 57 million, 180,000 people with cancer, and yet there is no systematic approach to try and get patients into clinical trials. American HMOs, health maintenance organisations, which represent a sort of mini-NHS for the populations that go to these plans, have already appointed clinical trials teams for cancer to provide the infrastructure so that a consultant in Cambridge, for example, does not have to worry about the extra workload of entering a patient into a clinical study. The infrastructure to do that is provided for and managed properly and so all the data sheets, the relatively boring studies that are required to validate the clinical trial, are looked after for the person. The sort of problem Professor Ponder has with the infrastructure is taken care of. We do not have that privilege in the United Kingdom; I do not think we ever have had. That again leads to personal effort, slush funds, all these sorts of things, being used to try and support the struggle. In some places it works; in other places it does not. Of course there is a dynamic. As people change some places peak and then go down but that should not be the case in a country like this.

Dr Turner

  437. It would be fair to say then, would it, that there are promising research areas which are being neglected because the Government is not having a sufficient influence on the research agenda, particularly in terms of properly funding it? Can you expand on that and give some specific examples?
  (Professor Sikora) As we go through the next three years there are going to be a remarkable number of compounds coming into the clinical trial arena that Britain will not be part of because there is not the infrastructure to do it. There are physicians that would be interested in doing the trials, there are patients with cancer that certainly would like to be part of the clinical trial, but it will not be possible at the moment because there just is not the infrastructure to get things going. Information technology, which Professor Ponder has mentioned, is fairly poor and does not link up to things in this country. We are moving into an era where validated clinical trials are monitored electronically in real time by the pharmaceutical industry and by the regulators, both the FDA and the European regulator in London. Getting to that point requires a different mind-set of infrastructure and that is perhaps what I see as the biggest lack in terms of the Government funding for cancer research in this country. It has never been properly addressed by the MRC. They have a clinical trials committee but if you look at the structure of what they are doing it is not providing an infrastructure. It may help a little bit with the statistical analysis but it is relatively small scale.
  (Professor Ponder) Could I add something very briefly to that? It is an anecdote, I suppose, just one example also of how the lack of infrastructure prevents us from carrying through when we have discovered something. In 1993 we identified a gene which predisposes to a particular fairly uncommon form of inherited thyroid cancer. What was particular about this was that it was one of the few inherited cancers where you can show unequivocally that having a gene test for this condition predictively is of value, and six years later the National Health Service still does not provide a complete genetic testing service for the mutations in this gene, nor is there a national register which allows us to keep track of family members so that children and their parents can be offered advice and the opportunity for screening, nor is there any mechanism in place for us to evaluate the most efficient way to use the genetic testing. This is not for want of trying. There have been committees: the Harper Committee has recommended about this. We just cannot make it happen.

Dr Gibson

  438. Do you think the Department might have costed it up and found it was too much? Are you cynical about that?
  (Professor Ponder) There are orphan diseases which drug companies are not interested in and maybe there are orphan diseases which governments are not interested in and I suppose that is possible. I am not aware that such an exercise has been carried out. I would ascribe it to the inertia of the system or the impenetrability of the system rather than to any positive decision.

  439. But you describe it as a minor cancer when there are major ones where, as Professor Sikora says, we have inroads to make in some of them. We have done well in some but not in others. Maybe the Government is right to take out the major cancer killers.
  (Professor Ponder) Maybe. I use this as an example though. I think you could multiply that example for more common conditions. It happens to be one which is close to my heart because I was involved in it but it is still 50 people a year who are getting a very nasty disease, some of which could be prevented.


 
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