Select Committee on Public Accounts Minutes of Evidence


Examination of Witnesses (Questions 80 - 99)

WEDNESDAY 3 MARCH 1999

SIR ROBERT WALMSLEY, KCB and MR PAUL HATT

  80.  My final question is about ship modifications, and I suppose it is a question for Mr Hatt really. Bearing in mind that ship modifications and shipbuilding are much better done at Tyneside than anywhere else in the country, and I can vouch for that, commercial yards, as we know, are constantly changing their manpower cost structures and they are really getting things down to the wire in order to be able to compete. Why is it then that you do not deal in actual tender prices but that you still use the outdated concept of man-weeks?
  (Sir Robert Walmsley)  I know Mr Hatt will probably want to answer this, but I think I should and I am going to cheat because I have just been advised that DRUMM will come in in three to four years and not one to two. Shipbuilding, we used to use these very quaint units of man-weeks, but at least we have now got to man-hours. There is a reason for that. It is when we are dealing with Rosyth and Devonport, as you know from other sessions of this Committee, the actual cost of a man-hour varies depending on the workload in the dockyard at the time. Therefore, if we are undertaking a modification which is essentially the same, fitting a new gunnery control system to a Type-42 Destroyer, it is exactly the same number of man-hours, but the cost depends on the other workload, so the first thing we need to do is to negotiate the man-hours. It also provides a direct comparison of course between Devonport and Rosyth in a way that pound costs do not, but I absolutely agree with you, that once we get into competitive warship refitting, then we are in pound notes.

Mr Davidson

  81.  I wonder if I could start off by following a point that was raised by Mr Campbell about the question of British Aerospace testing the competitors. Maybe you could just give me an indication of how many occasions there have been when the Design Authority or the company that had the lead role did actually say, "Yes, this is actually far better than we are proposing and it is far cheaper, so you should certainly go ahead with that", and what sort of balance is there because you can see there is an obvious clash of interests there?
  (Sir Robert Walmsley)  First of all, I am not aware of any instances where a firm has said, "My bid is too expensive. Please give the work to someone else". I did mention in answer to an earlier question that one of the least satisfactory parts of this is that modifications tend to have to be designed and developed by the original contractor, so the original contractor may have been selected by competition, but you are sort of stuck with him whether you like it or not. If it is a huge computer program, it is no good going to somebody else and saying, "Could you modify this for us?" partly because they may not own the intellectual property. When it comes to embodying the modifications though, we do have a mechanism for seeking a competition and perhaps Mr Hatt could explain that.
  (Mr Hatt)  There are two things. First of all, we try to put pressure on, if you like, the Design Authority, it must be said, through having, as Sir Robert described, the DERA which deal with technical matters, but also, as the Report indicates, there is sometimes a service engineering modification route which can be a competitor to the Design Authority's suggested modification. That is one part of the answer, if you like. The other part is that we keep within government the so-called third-line capability at places like RAF St Athan an ability to service and upgrade and do very deep work on aircraft, Royal Air Force aircraft, and that is in direct competition to what industry offers and we are able to run competitions which sometimes industry wins and sometimes it does not for specific work packages.

  82.  I am not clear whether or not that answer contradicts the answer given by Sir Robert. I was specifically asking whether or not there are situations similar to the example which has been quoted where you do actually have a bid which has come in from somebody else and where you have a Design Authority bid. Sir Robert seemed to be saying that the non-Design Authority bid never worked. I would have thought you had "daft" stamped across the front of your head, if the Design Authority always wins, because they are telling you the alternative is never ever good enough. Surely you have to smell a rat somewhere there?
  (Sir Robert Walmsley)  I do, and it is probably my fault for not explaining it properly. What Mr Hatt was describing was the competition to embody the developed modification, a hugely expensive activity which is straight production work, if you like, where there is a ruthless competition. Thank goodness we have third line, which is partly what it is for, to keep monopoly suppliers under control. The Royal Air Force do jolly well and the integrity of their accounting systems is quite sufficient to convince industry that the competitions are fair and square. What I was responding to was your question which was, did I know of a case where somebody said, "I reject my own offering in favour of somebody else's", I just do not know of any. What we try to do is ask the Design Authority to undertake a modification—GR 4 is a very good example, a hugely complex undertaking—and as Mr Hatt said it will use DERA to check whether it is a realistic technical proposition and we will use the best methods available to us to make sure that we are not getting ripped off by the Design Authority. First of all, that consists of a great deal of sub-contract competition. On avionics, there are many companies in Britain which can provide the avionics associated with GR 4, we can insist that they do not take into their own house, so to speak, production work which they could quite sensibly compete for on a make or buy basis. We ask for that routinely in the contract. We do everything we can in a non-competitive situation to get value for money but it is not as good as competition. That is for the development component.

  83.  Okay, but I still have this reservation. Perhaps I can move on to something else. In paragraph 2.12 there is a phrase towards the end, "Our analysis showed that collaboration added an additional level of bureaucracy". I wondered whether or not there was scope here to reduce that, whether you could consider just simply proceeding yourself on some of these things where you had identified a need, rather than spending time in discussion you simply got on with it and then you might subsequently have an issue about reclaiming from others?
  (Sir Robert Walmsley)  We absolutely do, particularly when the design costs or the development costs, the R&D costs, are very small, because there is very little benefit in sharing with others. Because the Royal Air Force has got nearly 300 Tornados which it wants to keep up to scratch, and that is a very substantial proportion of the total population, the significant extension of the production run in terms of modifications does not bring tremendous benefits. What it does bring, of course, is operational interoperability and that is really worth striving for with our partners, so we are not lightly turning away from collaborative opportunities for modifying the aircraft. We should always keep that in view, but it simply is not worth pursuing when the R&D costs are very small and when it is perhaps catering for obsolescence of a nut and bolt, of itself a British particular feature of the aircraft.

  84.  Presumably if you are identifying your own need for a particular adaptation, amendment or improvement, there is very little advantage in collaboration in those circumstances in terms of the discussions? If you want it, why do you not just do it, and if others decide to do it then you have the system for recharging them. It seems to me there is a layer of delay built into that which is completely unnecessary.
  (Sir Robert Walmsley)  As I have said, we try to judge it. First of all, can we share the R&D costs, because that is an economic benefit to us if we can get somebody else to take a share. I should perhaps mention that Italy have joined us on the fire modification, we share the cost of that, admittedly 80 per cent Britain, 20 per cent Italy, but nevertheless there is a benefit. When it comes to timing, we do not want to waste time talking about them endlessly in Munich, we have a perfectly respectable route through the United Kingdom but only in modifications, and we do that.

  85.  Even for something like the fire modifications, as I understood the situation, you did have a mechanism for recharging R&D in arrears should anybody else adopt the adaptation?
  (Sir Robert Walmsley)  Yes.

  86.  My point is, if you identify you need it, why do you not just do it? Don't worry about recharging the R&D at that stage, if anybody else makes that amendment you can charge them then, and then you cut out a whole cycle of toing and froing, which is presumably when the virtual teams come in since it is international?
  (Sir Robert Walmsley)  The first point I would say is that operational interoperability and securing the overall design standard for the Tornado fleet remains of great interest to the Royal Air Force. We do like to keep our partners with us. The second thing is, I very much hope I have not suggested this extra layer of bureaucracy, inevitable as it is in a collaborative programme, is allowed to take charge of very small modifications. That is not the way the Air Force proceeds. What is important, though, is that they are all recorded in the end on the aircraft drawings by the Design Authority and arrangements are made to do that.

  87.  I wonder if I could turn to paragraphs 2.8 and 2.9 and the issue there about comparing with the private sector, with the Germans and with the Americans? There seem to be three approaches which seem to some extent to be mutually incompatible, and yet in answers to Mr Campbell you seemed to be saying that our new proposals will incorporate all of them. There seemed to be somewhat of an inconsistency. Are all these proposals as undertaken by the commercial sector, by the Germans, by the Americans, all being adopted by us, and are they not incompatible in some ways?
  (Sir Robert Walmsley)  We are absolutely not adopting the German system, which is very different from anything we propose. It has its strengths but it is completely different from the way we are going. What I did say was we are trying to learn from the United States and we have drawn as many strengths from the United States system as seem compatible to us. I also am very keen on this commercial aspect because it is right to say their ability to record information, to know exactly what is happening, with huge inventories of assets, seems to be way ahead of us, and I just think that resource accounting and budgeting which visits the cost of ownership on the actual operator and owner of the piece of equipment is going to shine a light on that in a way which we find hard to imagine at the moment.

  88.  Could I turn to paragraph 4.10 and the whole issue here of the United States, particularly the Navy, having a category of modification designed for priority action and to be economical? I was not clear from what has been said by yourself so far whether or not you have the same thing and whether or not there is anybody with that specific responsibility and, if not, whether that was something which should be given greater consideration?
  (Sir Robert Walmsley)  I do not think we have grasped this yet. The report makes clear that modifications have been primarily motivated for two things—capability enhancement and capability sustainment, stopping bits going obsolescent or trying to bring the reliability up to what it was supposed to be. I think a third component of modification in the future which we will find astonishing we do not have now is the cost of ownership, and once we have this resource accounting and budgeting there will be an absolute incentive on those responsible for managing these modification programmes to reduce their cost of ownership. The type of modification work which comes in here, as you see from this United States AEGIS programme, will then be very much the target area for the people in charge rather than an interesting curiosity.

  89.  I wonder if I could raise one other point arising from 4.17 and 4.18? I was going to pick up the same point about man weeks and it is to do with ship building and modifications. Of course, as everyone knows, it is the Clyde which has the best ship building and ship repairing facilities in the country. One of the things I constantly get from staff working there on your contracts is simply the overwhelming bureaucracy of the whole system, the drive towards gold plating there seems to be, in complete contrast, they tell me, to the commercial work that they undertake. Kvaerner in particular have been very much involved over a long period undertaking only commercial work but they did get involved with some naval work and the staff said it was just bedlam. The number of people who crawled over things and sent paperwork back and forward, the amendments. I just want to be clear that you think the standards you are operating are in line with the best practices of the commercial sector.
  (Sir Robert Walmsley)  Well, I think that is a fair comment. I went to speak to Kvaerner and I spoke to the Managing Director myself and he told me that we were capable of putting more pages in a specification about a hatch than he expected for a whole ship, so I asked him to take me through the detail. Once we started to look at the detail, it all started to look a bit different, but there is no question about it, that if we build warships to commercial standards, then we do not need as much bureaucracy, as it is called, but for "bureaucracy", read "tight specifications", and there is no doubt about it, that Kvaerner had quite a difficulty in constructing the HMS OCEAN's hull. It was not anywhere else where a ship was launched and was holed on launch. Now, I have a great respect for Kvaerner and a great affection for them, but there is no question about it, that building this ship was a very demanding task for them and it has taken quite a long time to bring OCEAN into service, and I am very pleased that it is now in service.

  90.  I understand the point you make and I note the nature of your reply. However, the issue of naval specification, and I recognise there are some complexities to do with defence requirements, but they did also outline not just your point about the hatch, but they were talking about pumping facilities, motors, various things that they said they could produce commercially or buy in commercially for a tenth of the price with the same output, yet the specifications were so complicated, so difficult and so gold-plated and in many cases elaborately being engineered that it was just inordinately expensive, far, far more expensive than they thought was reasonable in the circumstances. Yes, there was obviously tension because they were having to take on new work and so on, but I am not entirely satisfied that the naval procurement process has actually got to the best standards of the commercial sector yet. Would you accept that there is a tremendous amount to learn about procurement and these sorts of issues?
  (Sir Robert Walmsley)  I absolutely readily admit that we have a tremendous amount to learn about procurement and related issues. I also believe that we can adopt commercial standards in warship design, as we did in the ship that was constructed at Kvaerner's, but where I think I would perhaps just show a little bit of resistance is the concept that there is a great deal of gold-plating in our warships. I know by international comparisons that our warships are produced for the Royal Navy at a very, very competitive price. I simply do not understand how it is possible to spend as much money on nuclear submarines as other countries do. We would not know how to do that if we tried. When we look at what has been achieved on the Type-23 programme on the Clyde, I know that we are not gold-plating those designs because I have seen what has happened to the price. We discussed with the shipyards whether there are any sore thumbs in the design which is causing them to, so to speak, spend money where it is not going to yield any benefit. Then I come back to my hatch. The reason our hatch specification is so complex is that we do not want the hatch to blow away with the slightest sign of over-pressure. That is a lesson which has been learnt by people years before me, that a very small over-pressure on a big hatch will blow it off if you do not have eight clips on it, and that is why we insist on eight clips. That is the conversation I had with the then Managing Director of Kvaerner, and he understood that our specification had been honed out of real battle experience, but I still accept that sometimes they are too complicated and we are getting rid of naval engineering standards even as we sit here and we are removing them, so I take the lesson on board, but I just resist it a little.

Mr Twigg

  91.  Sir Robert, you have painted a very interesting overall picture and we could not disagree with what you have said. The DRUMM project, how important is that to you to make the necessary changes we all want to see?
  (Sir Robert Walmsley)  It is something I am not an expert in. I can only say that so many of the questions that have been raised this afternoon we discussed in the Ministry of Defence as I prepared myself for this meeting and the DRUMM project was the answer to better information, and I am quite clear that one of the many components of getting this better is not just better organisation, but it is better information, so the DRUMM project is important, but I cannot describe it in detail.

  92.  That is a bit of a worry for myself because throughout the Report there are comments and recommendations made about the information available. In fact I think you made a comment before that the reporting arrangements were very much pen and paper and here we are having a need to see these improvements with information systems and it is vital to getting things right and improving efficiency, but you do not seem to have a grip on actually what it is about and what it means because management information is so much more essential these days, especially in this type of area, that I am a little bit concerned about how much emphasis is being put in from the top. I may be being unfair to you because you have got lots of other things to look after as well, but it does worry me a little bit and maybe you would like to comment further on whether you think you may need to get yourself further up to speed with it or whether you feel confident that those who are dealing with it are on target and doing everything that is necessary to bring about these improvements.
  (Sir Robert Walmsley)  I am absolutely confident that those who are going to depend on this system to deliver the improvements that I have tried to outline this afternoon have a detailed grip of DRUMM. When I said I did not have the detail of it, I meant that if somebody took me into a description of how many terminals it had or what the cost was, I could not answer, but I know that DRUMM has got a functionality which is absolutely essential to delivering better information to this programme, that those who are responsible for DRUMM, who have DRUMM in their budgets, are the people who own the support money for the Army and, therefore, have a direct incentive to make DRUMM work. I know that the systems exist to connect all the Army units and we have talked a lot about locating Bedford trucks this afternoon and that requires a very, very comprehensive Quartermaster General and Land Command Communications System and I know that exists, so it is a cross-Army system involving the two big commands involved in materiel management and they have every interest in the world in making sure that they deliver the performance I have outlined.

  93.  I will not go back to the Bedford trucks because we have been over that, but how confident are you then that things are going to improve? Maybe you could just outline to us how you know that. In the meantime, it is going to be three or four years until DRUMM, which is quite some considerable time, so how are things going to move on in that time and what has been put in place to bring about these improvements?
  (Sir Robert Walmsley)  Well, it is a very big organisation. I did say that DRUMM would be finished within three or four years and I have now been told that it is costing £168[6] million, but of course the other services are making efforts as well. I hope it does not sound rather partisan of me if I say that the Fleet Air Arm have introduced a system called Work Recording and Asset Management and that is in place now and is delivering the improvements and providing the structure which will prevent us losing configuration management control of the Mark 2 Sea King airborne early warning aircraft, so that exists now and we will not have to wait until the end of DRUMM for that, but it is completely independent. UPKEEP, which is the naval system for ships, exists now.

  94.  But that gap that DRUMM is going to fill, how is that being dealt with at the moment? I understand what you are saying, but there is still a gap there, is there not?
  (Sir Robert Walmsley)  Well, first of all, the organisation is being simplified. I mentioned that the chain had four links and that will be down by April of next year to, I think, just three links and perhaps with the prospect of coming down to two. I am absolutely clear that whether they are computer or pencil and paper systems, the less intervention there is between the person who generates the data and the person who needs to use it, the more likely it is to work, so the pencil and paper system is being streamlined, and of course I am being a little bit unkind because actually at any individual location it will be logged and recorded on the computer, but I am trying to not leave you with the impression that it is a pan-Army system at the moment. It requires manual intervention and by reducing the number of reporting points, that will be simplified and, therefore, I am quite confident that that is a big step towards making it more successful.

  95.  Have you any views then on the sort of efficiency savings you could make given that you have not actually got the sort of information which would deal with some of these costs of duplication, et cetera? Have you got a view on efficiency savings because again the NAO say in their Report that a single percentage point efficiency saving in the use of modification resources revealed more than £12 million annually, which is quite a big incentive?
  (Sir Robert Walmsley)  Well, that is absolutely true, that if you take a percentage point of any large sum of money, it is still a very large sum of money.

  96.  So you are comfortable with that sort of cut and you think that could be done?
  (Sir Robert Walmsley)  Absolutely, and IT systems are not a source of overall additional expenditure. When we make an investment in an IT system, we expect it to deliver benefits and it is best if it delivers benefits to those whose budgets are going to have to pay for it.

  97.  Have you got any targets yourself set at the moment?
  (Sir Robert Walmsley)  The targets are implicit in the budgets which came out of the Strategic Defence Review.

  98.  So that is regardless of the information you may have got?
  (Sir Robert Walmsley)  Well, that took account of these IT investments which themselves had to be loaded into the budget at the expense of efficiencies because an IT system——

  99.  Well, you are going to resource accounting of course, so have you taken account of that in terms of taking account of capital expenditure and revenue expenditure, et cetera? Have you looked at that in terms of revenue savings, not just talking about capital savings, but revenue savings and is there greater efficiency?
  (Sir Robert Walmsley)  I do not think we probably did because we were in a cash regime at the time we took the decision, and it probably would not have been possible two years ago when we were thinking about the investment decision and DRUMM to move forward into an accounting system which did not exist.


6   Note by Witness: The cost of DRUMM, is in fact, £140 million not £168 million as stated. Back


 
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