Select Committee on Treasury Minutes of Evidence


Supplementary Memorandum submitted by HM Treasury

PERSONAL PENSIONS ISSUES

  During evidence to the Committee on 6 May, the Treasury team undertook to provide further information on a number of issues. This letter covers the issues where the material is readily to hand. The Committee also requested information on some further matters relating to the prudential supervision of insurance companies. I will write again on this subject on my return from two overseas visits, which will take me out of the office for the next week or so.

SERPS OPT-OUTS

  The Treasury undertook to give to the Committee a report, published in 1996 by the Securities and Investments Board (SIB), now the Financial Services Authority (FSA). The report outlined the results of research conducted to estimate whether people who opted out of the State Earnings Related Pension Scheme (SERPS) in the late 1980s and early 1990s and took out an Appropriate Personal Pension instead, stood to make a loss as a result. A copy of the report and the SIB press notice that announced its publication are attached at Annex A [Not printed].

  The report's main findings were that:

    —  the vast majority of people (between 96 per cent and 99 per cent) stood to gain from opting out of SERPS;

    —  where prospective losses arose, losses per case were small, averaging between £33 and £78 a year in reduced pension rights;

    —  fixed charges were a major factor in most of the cases where loss was expected, as they slowly erode small or closed policies.

  This is why the Treasury's evidence was that most people stand to gain from opting out of SERPS into a personal pension. The review of personal pensions mis-selling relates to people who were either in, or eligible to join, an occupational pension scheme (OPS), but took out a personal pension instead. For a rebate only case to qualify for review, the person must have either been in, or eligible to join an OPS. The most likely source of loss in these circumstances is the loss of an employer's contribution to the pension. Had the investor jointed their OPS, they would in any case have been opted out of SERPS. The fact of opting out of SERPS is consequently of little significance in this context.

  I should add that as a matter of policy the Government of the day provided powerful incentives on people to opt out of SERPS, and that this can only have been a major influence on those who chose to opt out. The future of SERPS and of the structure of second tier pensions more generally is of course being considered as part of the Pensions Review currently being carried out by the Department of Social Security.

EFFECT OF THE STOCK MARKET ON CASE ASSESSMENTS

  The second request for information arose from a question by Mr. Davies, who suggested that, as a result of the recent favourable performance of the stock market, redress might have been paid to people, who, were their cases assessed today, would be found not to have been disadvantaged by pensions mis-selling. He asked whether the Treasury was aware of any such cases. As was noted during the evidence to the Committee, the Treasury is not aware of any such case. We understand that the FSA is similarly not aware of any instance of this kind.

  This is not surprising, as in practice the trend has been for the likelihood of loss to increase. At first look, this may seem surprising. It arises because case assessments must take a long term view, looking not only at past returns but also at likely future returns.

  Since the start of the review, the outlook for future long term investment returns has fallen, reflecting a downward adjustment in market expectations for long term inflation. This has meant that the cost of providing benefits equal in value to the occupational scheme benefits a person would have enjoyed had they stayed in or joined their OPS has increased. The rise in this cost has been greater than the increased value of the average personal pension fund. Thus losses measured today are greater than earlier in the review.

  To be fair to investors, and to the firms making redress, the assumptions firms must use to review cases are updated each quarter by the FSA to reflect the latest assessment of the longer term market prospects. It is inevitable that these will change over time particularly over as long a period of time as has now elapsed since the review of personal pensions was first launched.

TREASURY POWERS OF INTERVENTION OVER INSURANCE COMPANIES

  Sections 38-45 of the Insurance Companies Act 1982 give the Treasury (formerly the Secretary of State) various powers of intervention in relation to insurance companies. These powers can be exercised in the circumstances set out in Section 37 of the Act. An important ground for the exercise of powers is that the Treasury considers this to be desirable for protecting policyholders or potential policyholders of the company against the risk that the company may be unable to meet its liabilities or, in the case of long term business to fulfil the reasonable expectations of policyholders or potential policyholders.

  The number of times these powers have been used is set out in the Insurance Annual Report, published by the Stationery Office. The Annual Report for 1997 has not yet been published, and statistics on the exercise of powers of intervention in that year have not yet been compiled. But the Committee may find it helpful to see the figures for the years 1995-96, which give a good indication of the frequency of use of the various powers. These are set out at Annex B to this letter, which also summarises the nature of the various powers. For ease of reference the full text of Sections 37-45 of the Act is attached at Annex C [Not printed].

ATTRIBUTION OF COSTS

  Finally, during the course of the evidence, reference was made by the Treasury team to a Parliamentary Question answered by Mr Nigel Griffiths prior to the transfer of responsibility for insurance supervision from the Department of Trade and Industry to the Treasury. A copy of the question and answer is attached for ease of reference at Annex D.

  I hope that the Committee finds this further information helpful to its enquiries, and stand ready to provide further information or answer any further questions it may have.

11 May 1998


 
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